Cardiff City vs Wycombe Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 38
  • Referee: Brook C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.402.01
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
34
Big chances
35
Corner kicks
85
Passes
85% (414/485)82% (295/360)
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.402.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.36
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
85
Blocked shots
87
Shots inside the box
911
Shots outside the box
105
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
35
Corner kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3125
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free kicks
98
Passes
85% (414/485)82% (295/360)
Long passes
50% (23/46)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
77% (136/176)65% (56/86)
Crosses
29% (6/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.76
Throw ins
1715
Fouls
89
Tackles
58% (7/12)38% (5/13)
Duels won
3834
Clearances
1327
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.360.73
Goals prevented
-0.640.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Osho G. 🟥,
  • 45+2', Robertson A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', Henderson E. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 57', Lowe N. , Woodrow C. ,
  • 62', Robertson A. , Turnbull D. ,
  • 63', Tanner O. , Willock C. ,
  • 63', Kellyman O. , Colwill J. ,
  • 71', Harris L. , Vidigal A. ,
  • 71', Bagan J. , Scanlon C. ,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Vidigal A. , Morley A. (A),
  • 80', Vidigal A. 🟨,
  • 83', Colwill J. 🟨,
  • 84', 0 - 2, Woodrow C. , Taylor C. (A),
  • 85', Lawlor D. , Robinson C. ,
  • 90+3', Boyd-Munce C. , Leahy L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
56.3%
Draw
23.7%
Wycombe Wanderers
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.9% 25.9% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 27.7% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff City's performance.
  • Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wycombe Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.88)
    3.95
    (3.55)
    4.68
    (3.64)
    6.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 9).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cardiff has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Inactive) King E. (Knee Injury) Salech Y. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Wycombe: Hagelskjaer A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wycombe: Casey D. (Inactive) Lowry A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Wycombe Wanderers were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City 1:1
    29.07.2023 Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City 0:0
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two