Middlesbrough vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 12
  • Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.78
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
88% (583/664)78% (228/294)
Yellow Cards
05
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.47
Total shots
146
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
178
Passes
88% (583/664)78% (228/294)
Long passes
71% (35/49)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
78% (171/220)55% (41/75)
Crosses
22% (6/27)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.46
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
817
Tackles
35% (6/17)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4646
Clearances
1242
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.470.50
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Windass J. , Thomason G. (A),
  • 22', Brunt L. , Scarr D. ,
  • 32', Windass J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Dobson G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nypan S. , Browne A. ,
  • 46', Burgzorg D. , Conway T. ,
  • 46', Targett M. , Silvera S. ,
  • 46', Whittaker M. , Ayling L. ,
  • 63', Windass J. , Broadhead N. ,
  • 64', Longman R. , Cacace L. ,
  • 64', Thomason G. , O'Brien L. ,
  • 65', O'Brien L. 🟨,
  • 68', Sene M. K. , Strelec D. ,
  • 71', James M. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Hackney H. ,
  • 84', Moore K. , Smith S. ,
  • 90+1', Scarr D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
53.9%
Draw
25.7%
Wrexham
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 26.4% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.6% 22%

Middlesbrough - Wrexham Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.77
(1.84)
3.7
(3.55)
4.6
(4.11)
5.2%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Wrexham?
  • Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Doyle C. (Red Card) James A. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Wrexham
    22.10.2025 Wrexham - Oxford United 1:0
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry24156354:252951
    2Middlesbrough24127533:25843
    3Ipswich24118540:231741
    4Hull24125740:37341
    5Millwall24116727:32-539
    6Watford24108634:29538
    7Preston24910531:25637
    8Bristol City24106833:27636
    9QPR24105934:37-335
    10Stoke241041029:23634
    11Wrexham24810634:31334
    12Leicester2497834:34034
    13Southampton2488838:34432
    14Derby2488833:33032
    15Birmingham2487932:31131
    16West Brom24941128:32-431
    17Sheffield Utd24921333:37-429
    18Swansea24851125:31-629
    19Blackburn23761022:26-427
    20Charlton23761022:29-727
    21Portsmouth23671021:30-925
    22Oxford Utd24571224:33-922
    23Norwich24561326:36-1021
    24Sheffield Wed23181418:45-27-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One