Result
1:1
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 12
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (583/664) | 78% (228/294) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (583/664) | 78% (228/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (35/49) | 48% (22/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (171/220) | 55% (41/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 52% (11/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Windass J. ⚽, Thomason G. (A),
- 22', Brunt L. ↓, Scarr D. ↑,
- 32', Windass J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Dobson G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nypan S. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
- 46', Burgzorg D. ↓, Conway T. ↑,
- 46', Targett M. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
- 46', Whittaker M. ↓, Ayling L. ↑,
- 63', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
- 64', Longman R. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,
- 64', Thomason G. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
- 65', O'Brien L. 🟨,
- 68', Sene M. K. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
- 71', James M. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 1, Hackney H. ⚽,
- 84', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
- 90+1', Scarr D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
53.9% | Draw
25.7% | Wrexham
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Middlesbrough - Wrexham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.84) |
3.7 ↑
(3.55) |
4.6 ↑
(4.11) |
5.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Wrexham?
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(32 of 34 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 15).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Middlesbrough is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H.
(Ankle Injury)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
Doyle C.
(Red Card)
James A.
(Inactive)
Rodriguez J.
(Leg Injury)
Ward D.
(Elbow Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Wrexham?
Middlesbrough has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Middlesbrough?
Wrexham has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Wrexham were as follows:
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Wrexham
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
