Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 43
- Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (243/376) | 63% (186/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (243/376) | 63% (186/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (31/86) | 20% (19/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (94/187) | 45% (49/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 57 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, Lofthouse K. ⚽, Moon J. (A),
- 65', Asiimwe N. ↓, Tilley J. ↑,
- 65', Sasu A. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
- 74', Browne M. ↓, Stewart L. ↑,
- 74', Hutchinson S. ↓, Foyo O. ↑,
- 74', Cannon A. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 76', Webster C. 🟨,
- 80', Webster C. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
- 83', Nelson Z. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Burton Albion
50.9% | Draw
27.5% | AFC Wimbledon
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Burton Albion's performance.AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burton Albion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.1) |
3.4 ↓
(3.45) |
4.33 ↑
(3.4) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
- In recent matches, Burton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wimbledon is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Burton is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Tilley J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Evans G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Browne M.
(Injury)
Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Stevens M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Burton won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burton won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against AFC Wimbledon?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Burton Albion?
AFC Wimbledon has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burton Albion - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
25.10.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Burton Albion
0:1
Latest results of Burton Albion
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
