Result
3:2
25/10/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 9
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 2.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/333) | 84% (377/451) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 2.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/333) | 84% (377/451) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/59) | 32% (12/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (59/84) | 75% (118/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (12/23) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 2.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Adorante A. ⚽,
- 22', Haps R. 🟨,
- 25', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 31', Schiavi N. 🟨,
- 32', Abiuso F. 🟨,
- 34', Imperiale M. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Zuelli E. ⚽, Finotto M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', Busio G. 🟨,
- 55', Hasa L. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 62', Haps R. ↓, Bjarkason B. ↑,
- 62', Hainaut A. ↓, Pietrelli A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Doumbia I. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
- 66', Perez K. 🟨,
- 72', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 72', Finotto M. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 74', Adorante A. 🟨,
- 76', Abiuso F. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 76', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 79', Adorante A. ↓, Fila D. ↑,
- 79', Yeboah J. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Rubino T. ⚽, Di Stefano F. (A),
- 90', Perez K. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Di Stefano F. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
- 90+7', Di Stefano F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
30.7% | Draw
29.1% | Venezia
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Carrarese - Venezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↑
(2.99) |
3.21 ↓
(3.38) |
2.32 ↑
(2.2) |
7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Venezia?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Carrarese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Venezia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Mazzini S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Parlanti G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Venezia: Conde C.
(Broken Leg)
Duncan A.
(Inactive)
Plizzari A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Venezia?
Carrarese has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Carrarese?
Venezia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Venezia were as follows:
Latest results of Carrarese
Latest results of Venezia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Monza | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Cesena | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 4 | Palermo | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Venezia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Padova | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Pescara | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Spezia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Mantova | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
