Result
3:3
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 23
- Referee: Zanotti A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (286/369) | 78% (321/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (286/369) | 78% (321/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/63) | 39% (32/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (54/92) | 55% (43/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.60 | -1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Perrotta M. 🟨,
- 19', Leone G. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Gabrielloni A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 38', Correia O. ↓, Pierobon C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Di Maggio L. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
- 46', Faedo C. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
- 46', Maistro F. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
- 47', Fusi P. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 0, Zeroli K. ⚽,
- 62', Silva J. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
- 62', Di Mariano F. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
- 69', Cacciamani A. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,
- 69', Mosti N. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Buonaiuto C. ⚽,
- 76', Perrotta M. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Burnete R. ⚽, Carissoni L. (A),
- 86', 3 - 2, Capelli A. ⚽,
- 90', 3 - 3, Bortolussi M. ⚽, Varas K. (A),
- 90+1', Ricciardi M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
- 90+8', Capelli A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juve Stabia
53.1% | Draw
28.1% | Padova
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juve Stabia's performance.Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Padova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juve Stabia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Padova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Juve Stabia - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(2.08) |
3.32 ↑
(3.17) |
5.03 ↑
(3.66) |
6.6%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Juve Stabia - Padova?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Padova will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Juve Stabia will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 1.
- Juve Stabia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Padova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Juve Stabia is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Candellone L.
(Injury)
Diakite S.
(Inactive)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Injury)
Caprari G.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Juve Stabia will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juve Stabia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Padova?
Juve Stabia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Juve Stabia?
Padova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juve Stabia - Padova were as follows:
26.10.2025
Padova
-
Juve Stabia
2:2
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
