Result
08/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Fakel
69.3% | Draw
20.4% | SKA Khabarovsk
10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-24.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fakel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA Khabarovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fakel - SKA Khabarovsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.38) |
4.63 ↑
(4.53) |
9.18 ↑
(9.13) |
5.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1.
- In recent matches, Fakel has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- SKA Khabarovsk is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fakel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fakel is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against SKA Khabarovsk?
Fakel has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SKA Khabarovsk won against Fakel?
SKA Khabarovsk has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - SKA Khabarovsk were as follows:
26.10.2025
SKA Khabarovsk
-
Fakel
1:0
Latest results of SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 48:29 | 19 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 42:25 | 17 | 53 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 32 | 8 | 15 | 9 | 41:39 | 2 | 39 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka ✔ | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov ✔ | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
FK Chayka is Relegated to
Saratov is Relegated to
