Elvas vs Lagoa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
01/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 20

Match Stats

Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
37
Total shots
79
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, ,
  • 15', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 68', 3 - 0, ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Elvas
50.1%
Draw
28.5%
Lagoa
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 27.4% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 27.4% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Elvas - Lagoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.94)
    3.17
    (3.33)
    4.22
    (3.57)
    10.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Elvas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lagoa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Elvas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elvas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elvas - Lagoa were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Lagoa - Elvas 2:2
    Latest results of Elvas
    15.02.2026 Louletano - Elvas 1:0
    07.02.2026 Elvas - Sintrense 1:2
    25.01.2026 Portimonense B - Elvas 0:0
    Latest results of Lagoa
    22.02.2026 Lagoa - Moncarapachense 2:1
    25.01.2026 Louletano - Lagoa 2:0
    17.01.2026 Lagoa - Serpa 5:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira20107329:181137
    2Louletano2098322:91335
    3Juv. Evora2097424:18634
    4Serpa2087523:23031
    5GD Alcochetense2086626:18830
    6Lagoa2085734:29529
    7Alverca B1985633:28529
    8Sintrense2077621:21028
    9O Elvas CAD2084829:23628
    10Oriental2068623:27-426
    11Moncarapachense2049715:19-421
    12Portimonense B19531116:27-1118
    13Vasco da Gama20110916:36-2013
    14Industria20261218:33-1512

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