Al-Najma vs Al Akhdoud – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah).

Saudi Professional League - Round 24
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.20	2.23
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
3	4
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
3	2
Passes
85% (363/425)	74% (184/248)
Yellow cards
4	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.20	2.23
xG on target (xGOT)
1.18	3.03
Total shots
16	5
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
10	1
Blocked shots
3	0
Shots inside the box
10	4
Shots outside the box
6	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	3
Corner kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
24	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
18	15
Passes
85% (363/425)	74% (184/248)
Long passes
45% (13/29)	42% (27/65)
Passes in final third
76% (100/131)	63% (71/112)
Crosses
30% (9/30)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.38	0.68
Throw ins
17	16
Fouls
15	18
Tackles
67% (10/15)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
58	45
Clearances
24	28
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
3.03	1.18
Goals prevented
0.03	1.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Al Abbas S. ⚽, Al Hatila A. (A),
16', Dunga N. 🟨,
21', Pedroza J. 🟨,
31', Fagihy M. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Lazaro ⚽, Felippe Cardoso (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pedroza J. ↓, Borrell M. ↑,
51', Al Hawsawi A. 🟨,
57', Guga 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Bassogog C. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Guga ↓, Al Tulayhi R. ↑,
67', Al Hawsawi A. ↓, Al Abdulraziq F. ↑,
68', Samir Caetano 🟨,
69', Al Hatila A. ↓, Hawsawi G. ↑,
70', Al Abbas S. ↓, Al Lazam K. ↑,
80', Tijanic D. ↓, Al Aqel M. S. M. ↑,
81', Bassogog C. ↓, Nguen T. ↑,
84', Al Lazam K. 🟨,
85', Al Haleel N. ↓, Al Fatil M. ↑,
90', Ince B. ↓, Al Jahif M. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Nguen T. ⚽, Al Lazam K. (A),

Chances of winning

Al-Najma
48.5%

Draw
24.5%

Al Akhdoud
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

27.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Najma's performance.

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Akhdoud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Najma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Akhdoud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.54)	3.83 ↑ (3.3)	3.43 ↑ (2.58)	6.7% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Najma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al-Najma will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Al-Najma is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al Akhdoud has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Al-Najma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Najma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Najma won against Al Akhdoud?

Al-Najma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al-Najma?

Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Najma - Al Akhdoud were as follows:

31.10.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Najma 2:1

Latest results of Al-Najma

25.02.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:5 ✺

19.02.2026 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma 4:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Al-Najma - Al-Kholood 2:1 ✺

05.02.2026 Al-Feiha - Al-Najma 3:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Najma 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Al Akhdoud

23.02.2026 Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud 2:1 ✺

20.02.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Qadisiya 2:4 ✺

12.02.2026 Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud 2:1 ✺

05.02.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal 0:6 ✺

02.02.2026 Al Akhdoud - Neom 1:1 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Nassr	24	20	1	3	65:19	46	61
2	Al Ahli SC	24	18	5	1	46:15	31	59
3	Al Hilal	24	17	7	0	62:23	39	58
4	Al Qadsiah	24	16	6	2	55:22	33	54
5	Al Ittihad	24	12	6	6	39:28	11	42
6	Al Taawon	24	12	5	7	42:29	13	41
7	Al Ettifaq	24	11	5	8	35:42	-7	38
8	Neom SC	24	9	5	10	29:33	-4	32
9	Al Fateh	24	7	7	10	32:43	-11	28
10	Al Hazem	24	7	7	10	26:44	-18	28
11	Al Khaleej	24	7	6	11	42:38	4	27
12	Al Fayha	24	7	6	11	28:41	-13	27
13	Al Shabab	24	6	7	11	30:38	-8	25
14	Al Kholood	24	8	1	15	32:42	-10	25
15	Al Riyadh	24	3	7	14	22:45	-23	16
16	Damac	24	2	10	12	18:41	-23	16
17	Al Okhdood	24	3	4	17	22:50	-28	13
18	Al Najma	24	1	5	18	22:54	-32	8

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1