Result
1:2 penalties
06/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
Germany | NHL.tv |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Slovakia | Dajto, Voyo |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 23 | 34 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 4.35% (1/23) | 2.94% (1/34) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 33 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 97.06% (33/34) | 95.65% (22/23) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (3/3) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 28 | 21 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 58.06 | 41.94 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 06:22, Slafkovsky J. (2 min),
- 10:52, Tavares J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 07:58, Stecher T. (2 min),
- 08:25, 0 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
- 12:43, Dobson N. (2 min),
- 13:54, Tavares J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 08:36, (2 min),
- 10:28, 1 - 1, Laughton S. (G), Roy N. (A),
- 14:33, Xhekaj A. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Nylander W. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Caufield C. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Matthews A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Texier A. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Tavares J. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs 44.9% | Draw 22% | Montreal Canadiens 33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (2.06) |
4.34 ↓ (4.35) |
2.86 ↓ (2.92) |
5.2% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Montreal (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
- Toronto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Montreal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Montreal: Dach K.
(Broken Leg)
Guhle K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Laine P.
(Abdominal strain)
Newhook A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Woll J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 71:45. (average 3.6:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 4:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Montreal Canadiens?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 16 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montreal Canadiens won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Montreal Canadiens has won 6 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens were as follows:
22.11.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:2
08.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Montreal Canadiens
5:2
27.09.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Montreal Canadiens
2:4
25.09.2025
Montreal Canadiens
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:7
12.04.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Montreal Canadiens
1:0
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche | 55 | 34 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 212:138 | 83 |
| 2 | Minnesota Wild | 58 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 196:169 | 78 |
| 3 | Dallas Stars | 57 | 28 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 193:160 | 77 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 57 | 20 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 191:179 | 68 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth | 57 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 183:157 | 64 |
| 6 | Edmonton Oilers | 58 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 198:194 | 64 |
| 7 | Seattle Kraken | 56 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 162:165 | 63 |
| 8 | Anaheim Ducks | 56 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 23 | 185:195 | 63 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Kings | 56 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 146:161 | 60 |
| 10 | Nashville Predators | 57 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 169:198 | 59 |
| 11 | San Jose Sharks | 55 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 171:193 | 58 |
| 12 | Chicago Blackhawks | 57 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 154:185 | 53 |
| 13 | Winnipeg Jets | 56 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 160:175 | 52 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 56 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 142:169 | 52 |
| 15 | St. Louis Blues | 57 | 19 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 147:203 | 49 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 57 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 149:210 | 42 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 55 | 28 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 199:140 | 78 |
| 2 | Carolina Hurricanes | 57 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 197:163 | 78 |
| 3 | Montreal Canadiens | 57 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 199:187 | 72 |
| 4 | Detroit Red Wings | 58 | 23 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 174:175 | 72 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 56 | 25 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 192:169 | 70 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 57 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 195:176 | 70 |
| 7 | Boston Bruins | 57 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 195:182 | 69 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 58 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 169:162 | 69 |
| 9 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 56 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 179:177 | 65 |
| 10 | Washington Capitals | 59 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 189:177 | 65 |
| 11 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 57 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 188:194 | 63 |
| 12 | Ottawa Senators | 57 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 191:184 | 63 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Flyers | 56 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 167:180 | 61 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 57 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 174:191 | 61 |
| 15 | New Jersey Devils | 57 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 27 | 146:175 | 58 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 57 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 151:180 | 50 |
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