Result
0:0
06/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 3
- Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 14, Canal+ Live 15 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 12, M+ Liga de Campeones 13 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 15 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (560/643) | 80% (241/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (560/643) | 80% (241/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (23/41) | 33% (14/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (167/222) | 63% (52/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/26) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Lazetic M. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
- 63', Armstrong S. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
- 67', Rubio W. ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
- 72', Bajic R. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
- 72', Pons P. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
- 75', Karlsson J. ↓, Milanovic N. ↑,
- 76', Jensen A. ↓, Gyamfi E. ↑,
- 84', Polvara D. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
- 90+2', Mathias Gonzalez 🟨,
- 90+2', Ekpolo G. ↓, Ioannou P. ↑,
Chances of winning
AEK Larnaca
59.2% | Draw
23.7% | Aberdeen
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEK Larnaca's form might have worsened.Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
AEK Larnaca - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.43) |
4.03 ↓
(4.2) |
5.72 ↓
(7.4) |
4.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 70.7% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -2.5 - AEK Larnaca (4.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - AEK Larnaca (3.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - AEK Larnaca (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - AEK Larnaca (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Aberdeen (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Larnaca will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Aberdeen (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- AEK Larnaca has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Aberdeen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aberdeen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, AEK Larnaca has had a series of away games.
- In this match, AEK Larnaca is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y.
(Inactive)
Chacon Y.
(Injury)
Komar K.
(Broken Hand)
Roberge V.
(Inactive)
Thoma C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Gyamfi E.
(Inactive)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Cabrera E.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Aberdeen: Nilsen S.
(Inactive)
- We predict that AEK Larnaca will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has AEK Larnaca won against Aberdeen?
AEK Larnaca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against AEK Larnaca?
Aberdeen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AEK Larnaca - Aberdeen were as follows:
Latest results of AEK Larnaca
Latest results of Aberdeen
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
