Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA).

USL Championship
Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	AZFS, ESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	1.33
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
75% (230/306)	86% (431/504)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	1.33
xG on target (xGOT)
1.59	1.81
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
1	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
22	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
18	13
Passes
75% (230/306)	86% (431/504)
Long passes
31% (18/59)	59% (40/68)
Passes in final third
56% (57/102)	71% (76/107)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	1.58
Throw-ins
15	25
Fouls
14	19
Tackles
56% (5/9)	100% (9/9)
Duels won
46	42
Clearances
27	17
Interceptions
10	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.81	1.59
Goals prevented
-0.19	0.59

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Cicerone R. ⚽,
31', Sacko I. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Okello N. (Own goal),
41', Avayevu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Djedje R. ↓, Baker C. ↑,
52', Bennett K. 🟨,
58', Desmond L. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Cabral R. (Pen),
62', Czichos R. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
62', Rizzo P. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
68', Ross N. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
68', Spaulding R. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
68', Cicerone R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
68', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
75', Bennett K. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Sacko I. ⚽, Avayevu H. (A),
90+2', Okello N. ↓, Mar Boye P. ↑,
90+2', Flores D. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
90+4', Sainte C. F. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Sacramento Republic
55.7%

Draw
24.6%

Phoenix Rising
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-1%)

Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	3.74 ↓ (3.77)	4.68 ↓ (4.8)	8.6% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
Sacramento Republic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Phoenix Rising has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sacramento Republic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sacramento Republic has had a series of away games.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is considered a favorite.
We predict that Sacramento Republic will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Phoenix Rising?

Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Sacramento Republic?

Phoenix Rising has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising were as follows:

19.04.2025 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 2:2

14.09.2024 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 2:0

04.05.2024 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 1:1

04.11.2023 Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising 1:2

30.08.2023 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 2:1

Latest results of Sacramento Republic

10.09.2025 Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic 0:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

30.08.2025 New Mexico United - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

23.08.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Loudoun United - Sacramento Republic 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

05.09.2025 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 0:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive 3:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 4:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Lexington - Phoenix Rising 2:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
9	Rhode Island	26	8	7	11	20:26	-6	31
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	26	6	7	13	19:43	-24	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )