Result
2:0
04/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (227/304) | 85% (393/465) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (227/304) | 85% (393/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (18/53) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (60/109) | 65% (60/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Ajago F. 🟨,
- 10', 1 - 0, Willey B. ⚽, Ajago F. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Wanner D. ⚽, Benitez M. (A),
- 26', Moursou J. 🟨,
- 28', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Studenhofft G. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
- 48', Avayevu H. 🟨,
- 50', Vitiello D. 🟨,
- 59', Wanner D. 🟨,
- 61', Moursou J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 64', Vukovic A. ↓, Capetillo A. ↑,
- 72', Wanner D. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
- 73', Benitez M. 🟨,
- 75', Pelayo A. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
- 77', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cambridge B. ↑,
- 77', Ajago F. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 78', Willey B. 🟨,
- 79', JP Scearce 🟨,
- 84', Willey B. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sacramento Republic
53.8% | Draw
26.1% | Phoenix Rising
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.78) |
3.54 ↑
(3.51) |
4.59 ↑
(4.11) |
8.4%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 1.
- Sacramento Republic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Phoenix Rising is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Phoenix Rising may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Sacramento Republic is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sacramento Republic won against Phoenix Rising?
Sacramento Republic has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Sacramento Republic?
Phoenix Rising has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
13.09.2025
Sacramento Republic
-
Phoenix Rising
2:2
19.04.2025
Phoenix Rising
-
Sacramento Republic
2:2
14.09.2024
Sacramento Republic
-
Phoenix Rising
2:0
04.05.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
Sacramento Republic
1:1
04.11.2023
Sacramento Republic
-
Phoenix Rising
1:2
Latest results of Sacramento Republic
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
