Result
2:1
22/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 15
- Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (590/672) | 73% (209/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (590/672) | 73% (209/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (128/178) | 64% (39/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 83% (19/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Carlier M. 🟨,
- 21', Bamba R. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Cardona I. ⚽, Davitashvili Z. (A),
- 45+3', Boakye A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Saint-Ruf N. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Tardieu F. (Pen),
- 57', 2 - 1, Bokangu B. (Pen),
- 58', Suljic C. ↓, Ztouti Z. ↑,
- 63', Ztouti Z. 🟨,
- 67', Bokangu B. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑,
- 78', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑,
- 79', Moueffek A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
- 82', Ferreira J. 🟨,
- 84', Cardona I. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
58.5% | Draw
23.3% | Nancy
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Étienne that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nancy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saint-Étienne - Nancy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.62) |
4.06
(4.06) |
5.07 ↑
(4.8) |
7.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Nancy?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Saint-Étienne (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Saint-Étienne will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Étienne will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2.
- Saint-Étienne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nancy's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Nancy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Saint-Étienne has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Injury)
Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
Ferreira J.
(Injury)
Lamba C.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nancy: Camara B.
(Injury)
Fdaouch Z.
(Injury)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Tacafred E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Nancy?
Saint-Étienne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Saint-Étienne?
Nancy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Nancy were as follows:
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 44:27 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Red Star | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Reims | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Rodez | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 34:32 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:46 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 20 |
| 18 | Bastia | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
