Result
13/04/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 29
- Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Chances of winning
Tondela
23% | Draw
29.4% | Gil Vicente
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Tondela - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.1 ↓
(4.19) |
3.22 ↓
(3.35) |
2 ↑
(1.87) |
5.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tondela - Gil Vicente?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Tondela (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tondela (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Gil Vicente is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Tondela: Cicero
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Injury)
Hernandez H.
(Muscle Injury)
Ze Carlos
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Elimbi M.
(Injury)
Mutombo J.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Gil Vicente?
Tondela has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Tondela?
Gil Vicente has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Gil Vicente were as follows:
29.11.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Tondela
0:1
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
