Cheltenham Town vs Buxton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:2
06/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
257
Shots on target
156
Corner Kicks
77
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
257
Shots on target
156
Shots off target
101
Corner Kicks
77
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
42
Throw-ins
2315
Fouls
811

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', Broom R. , Jude-Boyd A. ,
  • 13', 0 - 1, Sodje T. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Hutchinson I. , Adelakun H. (A),
  • 45+1', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Ward G. , Kirby C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 46', Bennett S. , Cundy R. ,
  • 58', 2 - 2, Cundy R. ,
  • 60', McLean R. , Johnston J. ,
  • 62', 3 - 2, Thomas J. , Adelakun H. (A),
  • 69', Johnston J. 🟨,
  • 72', Robinson S. , Greaves O. ,
  • 72', Coleman C. , Viggars R. ,
  • 74', 4 - 2, Hutchinson I. , Jude-Boyd A. (A),
  • 76', Adelakun H. , Archer E. ,
  • 79', 5 - 2, Archer E. , Hutchinson I. (A),
  • 83', Young L. , Kinsella L. ,
  • 83', Bickerstaff J. , Martin J. ,
  • 85', Kirby C. , Trueman W. ,
  • 85', Brennan L. , Hill D. ,
  • 86', Bardell M. 🟨,
  • 90', 6 - 2, Thomas J. , Martin J. (A),

Chances of winning


Cheltenham Town
56.8%
Draw
24%
Buxton
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 26.1% 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 25.2% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cheltenham Town's performance.
  • Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Buxton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cheltenham Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Buxton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cheltenham Town - Buxton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (2.3)
    3.87
    (3.52)
    4.89
    (2.72)
    7.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cheltenham Town - Buxton?
  • Users Predictions: Cheltenham Town will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cheltenham Town will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cheltenham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Buxton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cheltenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cheltenham is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    Latest results of Buxton
    29.11.2025 Buxton - Merthyr Town 1:2
    25.11.2025 King`s Lynn Town - Buxton 3:2
    22.11.2025 Fylde - Buxton 1:2
    15.11.2025 Buxton - Southport 2:3
    11.11.2025 Bedford Town - Buxton 3:0
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton