Result
1:1
07/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 23
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (364/427) | 67% (177/263) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (364/427) | 67% (177/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 29% (15/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (122/146) | 53% (51/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Marconi I. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Artistico G. ⚽, Valoti M. (A),
- 24', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 24', Squizzato N. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Cuppone L. ⚽, Guiu B. (A),
- 33', Guiu B. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Cassata F. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
- 50', Ruggero M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 60', Beruatto P. 🟨,
- 63', Di Serio G. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,
- 67', Squizzato N. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
- 73', Cuppone L. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
- 78', Dalla Vecchia M. 🟨,
- 90', Di Mario S. ↓, Turicchia R. ↑,
- 90', Mezzoni F. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
- 90+1', Karic N. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Spezia
42.7% | Draw
32.2% | Virtus Entella
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Spezia - Virtus Entella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.25) |
2.93 ↑
(2.85) |
3.72 ↑
(3.63) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Spezia - Virtus Entella?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Virtus Entella will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Spezia: Lapadula G.
(Inactive)
Sarr M.
(Ankle Injury)
Vlahovic V.
(Red Card)
Zurkowski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Boccadamo A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Injury)
Mateju A.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 0.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Virtus Entella?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Spezia?
Virtus Entella has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Virtus Entella were as follows:
08.12.2025
Virtus Entella
-
Spezia
0:1
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 51:40 | 11 | 54 |
| 6 | Modena | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 44:29 | 15 | 51 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
