Arenteiro vs Real Avilés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:3
07/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
104
Corner kicks
23
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
148
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Gomez A. ,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Ferreiro D. ,
  • 30', 2 - 1, Bastida A. ,
  • 32', Grigore R. 🟨,
  • 35', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
  • 40', 3 - 1, Mingo V. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Bari Q. , Rubio R. ,
  • 46', Cayarga B. , Luis Alcalde ,
  • 46', Santamaria A. , Chukwuma E. ,
  • 46', Campabadal E. , Gete A. ,
  • 48', 3 - 2, Uzkudun A. ,
  • 56', 4 - 2, Chuca ,
  • 67', 5 - 2, Mingo V. ,
  • 68', Chuca , Lasure D. ,
  • 68', Ferreiro D. , Lopez A. ,
  • 73', Moreno D. , Kandoussi B. ,
  • 73', Bastida A. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 81', 5 - 3, Rubio R. ,
  • 83', Gomez A. , Rivera C. ,
  • 88', 6 - 3, Mingo V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 89', Mingo V. , Moya P. ,

Chances of winning


Arenteiro
40.1%
Draw
31%
Real Avilés
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 29.2% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Arenteiro - Real Avilés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.23)
    2.93
    (3.18)
    3.17
    (3.18)
    9.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Arenteiro might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arenteiro - Real Avilés were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Real Avilés - Arenteiro 1:0
    01.11.2023 Real Avilés - Arenteiro 0:1
    19.02.2023 Real Avilés - Arenteiro 1:1
    02.10.2022 Arenteiro - Real Avilés 1:1
    Latest results of Arenteiro
    24.01.2026 Ferrol - Arenteiro 2:0
    17.01.2026 Pontevedra - Arenteiro 1:1
    10.01.2026 Arenteiro - Lugo 0:2
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    31.01.2026 Real Avilés - Mérida AD 1:2
    25.01.2026 Real Avilés - Lugo 1:2
    10.01.2026 Real Avilés - Pontevedra 0:3
    03.01.2026 Ourense CF - Real Avilés 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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