Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
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| Ball Possession |
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| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
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| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
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| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Pareja L. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Guerrero A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 🟨,
- 54', Doncel C. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
- 63', Ramos J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 63', Solar M. ↓, Capitas M. ↑,
- 66', Garcia A. 🟨,
- 68', Dibrani B. 🟨,
- 71', 2 - 1, Verges E. ⚽,
- 74', Prado M. 🟨,
- 75', 🟨,
- 77', Castillo N. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
- 77', Guerrero A. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 84', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
- 84', Prado M. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Csenterics A. (Own goal),
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD 42.9% | Draw 30.2% | Ourense CF 27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mérida AD - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (1.94) |
3.03 ↓ (3.29) |
3.33 ↓ (3.9) |
9.2% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Ourense CF?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mérida AD will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ourense CF will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ourense CF (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).
- Mérida AD is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ourense CF is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ourense CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mérida AD is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Ourense CF?
Mérida AD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Mérida AD?
Ourense CF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Ourense CF were as follows:
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 44:12 | 32 | 54 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 42 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 31:18 | 13 | 39 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Zamora | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Racing Club Ferrol | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 34 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | Lugo | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 33 |
| 11 | Ponferradina | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:22 | 3 | 30 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 34:38 | -4 | 30 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 | Arenteiro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22:28 | -6 | 24 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | CF Talavera | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21:37 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 17:29 | -12 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation