Result
4:1
13/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 14
- Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 6 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (488/562) | 79% (309/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (488/562) | 79% (309/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (16/39) | 49% (34/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (106/145) | 67% (35/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Promel G. ⚽, Burger W. (A),
- 29', Konigsdorffer R. 🟨,
- 31', 2 - 0, Kabak O. ⚽, Promel G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 0, Lemperle T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
- 65', Capaldo N. 🟨,
- 67', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
- 67', Kramaric A. ↓, Asllani F. ↑,
- 67', Meffert J. ↓, Elfadli D. ↑,
- 72', 4 - 0, Asllani F. ⚽, Prass A. (A),
- 74', Promel G. 🟨,
- 77', Lokonga A. S. 🟨,
- 78', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
- 78', Balde F. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,
- 79', Lemperle T. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
- 80', Promel G. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 1, Philippe R. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
- 88', Capaldo N. ↓, Soumahoro A. ↑,
- 88', Coufal V. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
- 90+1', Philippe R. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
56.2% | Draw
22.4% | Hamburger SV
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.76) |
4.26 ↑
(4.21) |
4.47 ↑
(4.07) |
4.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Hamburg will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 48.2% – 79.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Hoffenheim (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Hamburg (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.
- Hoffenheim is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hamburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hamburg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hoffenheim is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bernardo
(Yellow Cards)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R.
(Injury)
Omari W.
(Knee Injury)
Pherai I.
(Personal Reasons)
Remberg N.
(Yellow Cards)
Rossing-Lelesiit A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Hamburger SV?
Hoffenheim has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Hoffenheim?
Hamburger SV has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV were as follows:
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Latest results of Hamburger SV
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 105:27 | 78 | 76 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60:29 | 31 | 64 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 60:38 | 22 | 56 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 59:39 | 20 | 52 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 57:43 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 54:54 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 9 | Mainz | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 36:53 | -17 | 33 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:50 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43:50 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 35:49 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:52 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 25 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 39:65 | -26 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:64 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
