Result
3:1
09/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (376/466) | 86% (549/640) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (376/466) | 86% (549/640) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 49% (29/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (102/151) | 73% (97/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.99 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Masuyama A. ⚽, Shimoda H. (A),
- 21', 2 - 0, Nishimura T. ⚽, Sento K. (A),
- 34', Jung Seung-Hyun 🟨,
- 36', Marcao ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
- 36', Heo Yool ↓, Ludwigson G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 3 - 0, Oh Se-Hun ⚽, Shimoda H. (A),
- 55', 3 - 1, Um Won-Sang ⚽, Ludwigson G. (A),
- 59', Trojak M. ↓, Lee D. ↑,
- 59', Lee H. ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
- 63', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
- 64', Sento K. ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
- 64', Masuyama A. ↓, Okamura D. ↑,
- 72', Nishimura T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 73', Park Min-Seo ↓, Cho Hyun-Taek ↑,
- 86', Shimoda H. ↓, Mae H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Machida Zelvia
63.5% | Draw
22.5% | Ulsan HD
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+3%)
Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.54) |
4.17 ↓
(4.3) |
6.7 ↑
(5.28) |
6.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Ulsan will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Ulsan (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.25 - Ulsan (1.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 20%). Ulsan (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- Machida Zelvia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ulsan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Machida Zelvia is the team to beat.
- We predict that Machida Zelvia will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Ulsan HD?
Machida Zelvia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ulsan HD won against Machida Zelvia?
Ulsan HD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD were as follows:
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Latest results of Ulsan HD
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
