Real Madrid Castilla vs CD Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
13/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
21
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Total shots
104
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Neskes 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Caropitche S. M. ,
  • 40', Angel M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Jimenez D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', Calvo T. 🟨,
  • 48', 🟨,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Mesonero D. ,
  • 61', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ,
  • 67', Neskes , Samuel ,
  • 67', Munoz P. , Canizo A. ,
  • 77', Tavares R. , Moreno A. ,
  • 77', Caropitche S. M. , Diaz B. ,
  • 83', Diaz B. 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
54.7%
Draw
26.7%
CD Guadalajara
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 27.7% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 27.3% 18.4%

Real Madrid Castilla - CD Guadalajara Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.73)
3.45
(3.35)
4.87
(4.95)
9.2%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
  • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of CD Guadalajara
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Tenerife15102329:101932
2Real Madrid B1691622:20228
3Racing Club Ferrol1583420:15527
4Celta Vigo B1583422:18427
5Real Aviles1573524:21324
6Merida AD1573523:21224
7Zamora1665522:19323
8Ath Bilbao B1564517:19-222
9Pontevedra1556417:15221
10Arenas Getxo1563618:21-321
11Unionistas1554618:17119
12Barakaldo1547417:17019
13Lugo1547413:13019
14Ourense CF1546517:18-118
15Ponferradina1545616:16017
16Osasuna B1545612:16-417
17Guadalajara1645716:24-817
18Cacereno1635811:22-1114
19Arenteiro153489:16-713
20CF Talavera1533914:19-512

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
      Relegation