Mainz vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
2:0
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Al-Emara M. (Fin)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 7
germanyGermanyRTL, RTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, RTL, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.73
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
76% (298/393)81% (389/478)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.73
xG on target (xGOT)
2.571.08
Total shots
137
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
76% (298/393)81% (389/478)
Long passes
30% (18/61)51% (32/63)
Passes in final third
62% (71/114)53% (50/94)
Crosses
9% (2/22)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.19
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
1010
Tackles
77% (10/13)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3842
Clearances
1935
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.082.57
Goals prevented
1.080.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Marius 🟨,
  • 33', Ntcham O. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Widmer S. ⚽, Lee Jae-Sung (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Amiri N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 57', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
  • 57', Musaba A. ↓, Bulbul T. ↑,
  • 69', Weiper N. ↓, Hollerbach B. ↑,
  • 75', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
  • 77', Widmer S. ↓, Boving W. ↑,
  • 84', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
  • 85', Tomasson L. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
  • 85', Holse C. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
  • 90+1', Lee Jae-Sung ↓, Maloney L. ↑,
  • 90+1', Amiri N. ↓, Moreno Fell F. ↑,

Chances of winning


Mainz
51.5%		Draw
24.2%		Samsunspor
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 21.2% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 20.4% 17.3%

Mainz - Samsunspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.84 ↑
(1.54)		 3.93 ↓
(4.41)		 3.94 ↓
(5.19)		 5.2%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mainz - Samsunspor?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Mainz will win (votes: 25 - 86.2%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mainz: 73.6% – 98.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mainz will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Recently, Mainz has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Mainz is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Mainz: Bos K. (Inactive) Caci A. (Thigh Injury) Dal M. (Knee Injury) Mwene P. (Muscle Injury) Tauer N. (Inactive) Veratschnig N. (Red Card) Zentner R. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury) Ustun E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mainz: Amiri N. (Inactive) Leitsch M. (Muscle Injury) Widmer S. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mainz
    14.12.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 2:2 ✺
    11.12.2025 Lech Poznań - Mainz 1:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Freiburg - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    27.11.2025 Universitatea Craiova - Mainz 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    14.12.2025 Samsunspor - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:2 ✺
    11.12.2025 Samsunspor - AEK Athens 1:2 ✺
    05.12.2025 Galatasaray - Samsunspor 3:2 ✺
    01.12.2025 Samsunspor - Alanyaspor 1:1 ✺
    27.11.2025 Breiðablik - Samsunspor 2:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy