Plymouth Argyle vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 22
  • Referee: Durkin J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.143.06
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
819
Shots on target
27
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
82% (283/346)84% (385/461)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.143.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.812.76
Total shots
819
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2238
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
910
Passes
82% (283/346)84% (385/461)
Long passes
37% (19/51)28% (15/53)
Passes in final third
67% (55/82)67% (79/118)
Crosses
17% (4/24)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.03
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
109
Tackles
71% (10/14)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5050
Clearances
3233
Interceptions
14
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
2.760.81
Goals prevented
-1.24-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 4', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 12', Ralls J. 🟥,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Wing L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 14', Oseni O. , Wiredu B. ,
  • 18', 0 - 2, Wing L. ,
  • 20', 0 - 3, Doyle K. , Marriott J. (A),
  • 23', Wing L. 🟨,
  • 30', Yiadom A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Williams R. , Ehibhatiomhan K. ,
  • 46', Benarous A. , Amaechi X. ,
  • 66', Mitchell A. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 3, Amaechi X. , Boateng M. (A),
  • 69', Yiadom A. , Abrefa K. ,
  • 71', Williams D. , Burns F. ,
  • 73', Tolaj L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 73', Edwards J. 🟨,
  • 77', Edwards J. , Szucs K. ,
  • 80', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 4, Marriott J. , Wing L. (A),
  • 87', Savage C. , Fraser L. ,
  • 88', Marriott J. , O'Mahony M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
35.1%
Draw
27.7%
Reading
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 26.9% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 26.7% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Plymouth Argyle - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (2.49)
    3.34
    (3.48)
    2.52
    (2.63)
    7.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 48.9%92.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Reading (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 15).
    • Plymouth is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Reading has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Reading may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Galloway B. (International duty) Ibrahim B. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Watts C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive) Jacob M. (Injury) Rinomhota A. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Dale O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Plymouth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Reading
    18.12.2025 Reading - Luton Town 3:2
    13.12.2025 Bradford City - Reading 2:0
    29.11.2025 Blackpool - Reading 0:3
    22.11.2025 Reading - Rotherham United 1:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Huddersfield351571355:46952
    7Reading341312950:44651
    8Stevenage331491037:35251
    9Wycombe3413111049:361350
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley311281153:53044
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter331181438:39-141
    16Mansfield3210101239:37240
    17Burton341091538:49-1139
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Northampton35981831:47-1635
    23Rotherham33971733:47-1434
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

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