Mérida AD vs Osasuna B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
11/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
86
Yellow cards
43
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
77
Corner kicks
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 🟨,
  • 10', 🟨,
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Chiqui ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Capitas M. , Rivas M. ,
  • 62', Echegoyen M. , Arrasate I. ,
  • 63', Pedroarena M. , Arroyo R. ,
  • 63', Chiqui , Artola J. ,
  • 71', Lumbreras C. , Bonel A. ,
  • 78', Ruiz R. C. , Garin X. ,
  • 84', Dibrani B. , Miki ,
  • 85', Areso J. , Pareja L. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 89', Martinez G. , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+9', Rivas M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Rivas M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
54.1%
Draw
26.4%
Osasuna B
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 27.1% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 22% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • The chances for Osasuna B have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Mérida AD - Osasuna B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.74)
    3.44
    (3.42)
    4.63
    (4.75)
    9.9%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Osasuna B?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Mérida AD is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Osasuna B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Osasuna B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mérida AD is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    03.01.2026 Lugo - Mérida AD 1:0
    07.12.2025 Mérida AD - Ourense CF 3:2
    29.11.2025 Ferrol - Mérida AD 2:2
    Latest results of Osasuna B
    04.01.2026 Osasuna B - Tenerife 0:2
    21.12.2025 Arenteiro - Osasuna B 2:0
    13.12.2025 Osasuna B - Lugo 0:0
    07.12.2025 CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B 1:0
    30.11.2025 Osasuna B - Zamora 1:3
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife29196450:173363
    2Celta Vigo B29149644:36851
    3Ath Bilbao B29128931:31044
    4Barakaldo291111738:29944
    5Pontevedra281013532:201243
    6Ponferradina291271031:24743
    7Zamora291110838:33543
    8Real Madrid B291271040:38243
    9Lugo291012728:28042
    10Racing Club Ferrol291261134:33142
    11AD Merida291181038:39-141
    12Unionistas291081138:39-138
    13Arenas Getxo281051332:39-735
    14Real Aviles29971341:49-834
    15Ourense CF29891231:33-233
    16Guadalajara29881331:42-1132
    17CF Talavera29871430:39-931
    18Cacereno296121127:38-1130
    19Arenteiro29681526:37-1126
    20Osasuna B29591518:34-1624

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