Durango vs Portugalete – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Alfaro G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Durango
23.9%
Draw
29.8%
Portugalete
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.4% 28.3% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1% 27.9% 50%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Durango - Portugalete Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.81
    (4.06)
    3.05
    (3.2)
    1.96
    (1.84)
    10.1%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durango won 0.
    • Durango has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Portugalete is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Portugalete is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Durango won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:17. (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Durango won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Durango - Portugalete were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Durango - Portugalete 0:1
    16.11.2024 Portugalete - Durango 2:0
    27.04.2024 Portugalete - Durango 5:1
    17.12.2023 Durango - Portugalete 0:2
    05.02.2023 Portugalete - Durango 1:1
    Latest results of Durango
    16.11.2025 San Ignacio - Durango 0:1
    08.11.2025 Durango - Derio 1:0
    02.11.2025 Touring KE - Durango 2:0
    11.10.2025 Durango - Leioa 0:0
    Latest results of Portugalete
    16.11.2025 Portugalete - Aretxabaleta 3:2
    08.11.2025 Zamudio - Portugalete 0:3
    02.11.2025 Portugalete - Santurtzi 4:1
    29.10.2025 Portugalete - Valladolid 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete24193252:173560
    2Leioa24143735:231245
    3Lagun Onak24132936:221441
    4Touring KE24118531:201141
    5Aurrera de Vitoria24124831:30140
    6San Ignacio24115824:18638
    7Derio24114937:29837
    8Alaves C24106838:271136
    9UD Aretxabaleta24105941:40135
    10Durango2489724:21333
    11Real Sociedad C241031126:28-233
    12Santurtzi2469924:32-827
    13Eibar C24751228:38-1026
    14Zamudio24741327:39-1225
    15Pasaia24661216:30-1424
    16Anorga24731423:43-2024
    17Zarautz KE24631520:43-2321
    18SD Deusto24461417:30-1318

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