Crawley Town vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
06/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 42
  • Referee: Madley R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.591.77
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
05
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
39
Passes
65% (189/291)73% (237/326)
Yellow cards
02
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.591.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.07
Total shots
716
Shots on target
05
Shots off target
55
Blocked shots
26
Shots inside the box
412
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1430
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free kicks
1211
Passes
65% (189/291)73% (237/326)
Long passes
29% (24/83)38% (24/64)
Passes in final third
48% (48/101)67% (95/142)
Crosses
30% (6/20)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.261.49
Throw ins
2718
Fouls
1112
Tackles
73% (8/11)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4964
Clearances
2537
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
1.070.00
Goals prevented
-0.930.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Kabia J. , Cook A. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 2, Rodgers H. ,
  • 41', Richards T. , Watson L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Williams J. 🟥,
  • 60', Adeyemo A. , Copley L. ,
  • 66', Kabia J. 🟨,
  • 67', Oduor C. , Sweeney J. ,
  • 68', Green K. , Walker J. ,
  • 71', McKirdy H. , Pereira D. ,
  • 71', Richards L. , Russell J. ,
  • 81', Cook A. , Amaluzor J. ,
  • 82', Staunton R. 🟨,
  • 88', Kabia J. , Svanthorsson J. ,

Chances of winning


Crawley Town
28.3%
Draw
27.3%
Grimsby Town
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 25.8% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31% 25.3% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Crawley Town - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (2.89)
    3.43
    (3.55)
    2.11
    (2.15)
    7.2%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Grimsby Town?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crawley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Crawley Town will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Crawley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Grimsby has had a series of home games.
    • Grimsby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Crawley: Vassell T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Khouri E. (Inactive) Sellars-Fleming T. (Injury) Tharme D. (Injury) Vernam C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Crawley: Bajrami G. (Inactive) Loft R. (Injury) Orsi-Dadomo D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) McEachran G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Crawley Town 3:0
    27.04.2024 Crawley Town - Grimsby Town 2:0
    23.09.2023 Grimsby Town - Crawley Town 2:3
    28.03.2023 Crawley Town - Grimsby Town 1:1
    08.10.2022 Grimsby Town - Crawley Town 3:0
    Latest results of Crawley Town
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One