Result
1:1
06/03/2026 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 20
- Referee: Barreiro J. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (453/527) | 71% (186/261) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (453/527) | 71% (186/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (13/38) | 31% (14/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (120/160) | 66% (44/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, James M. ⚽, Piper C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 1, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Yull J. (A),
- 71', Sheridan M. ↓, Payne T. ↑,
- 71', Eze I. ↓, Mileusnic N. ↑,
- 78', Najjarine R. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
- 78', Armiento C. ↓, Edwards D. ↑,
- 81', Barnett J. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
- 83', Oluwayemi J. 🟨,
- 83', Piper C. 🟨,
- 88', Piper C. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 90+1', Muniz J. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
55.8% | Draw
22% | Wellington Phoenix
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide United's performance.Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+4%)
Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.9) |
4.26 ↑
(3.68) |
4.28 ↑
(3.45) |
5.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Adelaide (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Adelaide (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Adelaide United will win
(24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Adelaide United will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 10 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
- Recent performances by Adelaide have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wellington is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Wellington has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Adelaide is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Adelaide: Anselmo
(Hip Injury)
Goodwin C.
(Groin Injury)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
Riak A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Wellington: Payne T.
(Inactive)
Rufer A.
(Yellow Cards)
Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Adelaide United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
10.01.2026
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
2:2
28.11.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
2:1
18.04.2025
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
3:2
10.01.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
1:2
02.03.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
3:2
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28:36 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29:32 | -3 | 27 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 33:41 | -8 | 27 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:34 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
