Result
3:2
23/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (216/285) | 85% (410/481) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (216/285) | 85% (410/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (34/65) | 65% (32/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (42/70) | 75% (115/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -1.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Florez K. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Hernandez L. ⚽, Berdugo L. (A),
- 38', 1 - 2, Florez K. ⚽, Sandoval L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Castaneda F. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
- 46', Calcaterra D. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Cordoba B. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 2, Quinones J. ⚽, Berdugo L. (A),
- 56', Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 56', Valencia E. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 57', Sandoval L. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 57', Martinez M. ↓, Parra Y. A. ↑,
- 57', 3 - 2, Hernandez L. ⚽, Arizalas E. (A),
- 62', Rovira B. 🟨,
- 70', Abonia Y. 🟨,
- 70', Berdugo L. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
- 75', Abonia Y. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
- 75', Florez K. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
- 85', Peralta J. 🟨,
- 87', Ramirez J. 🟨,
- 89', Londono K. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/23zy97tn
Chances of winning
Cúcuta Deportivo
40% | Draw
29.7% | Deportes Tolima
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cúcuta Deportivo's performance.Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cúcuta Deportivo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.94) |
3.14 ↓
(3.16) |
3.05 ↑
(2.41) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Cúcuta will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cúcuta: 29.2% – 76.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cúcuta (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Cúcuta (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Cúcuta (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Deportes Tolima (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Cúcuta (votes: 6 - 60%). Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 1.
- Cúcuta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Deportes Tolima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cúcuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Cúcuta Deportivo won against Deportes Tolima?
Cúcuta Deportivo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Cúcuta Deportivo?
Deportes Tolima has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
