San Diego vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
haitiHaitiTele Haiti
israelIsraelSport 3
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFOX One, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Chances of winning


San Diego
38.8%
Draw
27.7%
Toluca
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 25.7% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 27.7% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Diego's form might have worsened.
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toluca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Diego - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (1.86)
    3.35
    (3.58)
    2.77
    (3.67)
    8.1%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for San Diego - Toluca?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Toluca will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Toluca (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Toluca (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Toluca (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • San Diego is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toluca is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • San Diego could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of San Diego
    01.03.2026 San Diego - St. Louis City 2:0
    21.02.2026 San Diego - CF Montréal 5:0
    10.02.2026 UNAM - San Diego 1:0
    03.02.2026 San Diego - UNAM 4:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    08.03.2026 Toluca - Juárez 3:1
    03.03.2026 UNAM - Toluca 2:3
    21.02.2026 Necaxa - Toluca 0:3
    13.02.2026 Toluca - Tijuana 1:0