Result
0:2
01/03/2023 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 27
- Referee: Ferrieri Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Benevento
39.5% | Draw
33.8% | Südtirol-Alto Adige
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Südtirol-Alto Adige might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Südtirol-Alto Adige could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.63) |
2.79 ↓
(3) |
3.52 ↑
(2.63) |
6%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 11 - 31.4%). Südtirol will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 45.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 62.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Benevento has the most likely position - 17 (15.76%), has project points - 43, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Südtirol has the most likely position - 6 (12.34%), has project points - 55, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (64%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 31, importance 44, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Benevento is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Südtirol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Benevento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Benevento will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Benevento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Benevento won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Benevento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Benevento?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige were as follows:
09.10.2022
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Benevento
1:1
Latest results of Benevento
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
