Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 75% | 25% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (486/565) | 59% (113/191) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.28 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (486/565) | 59% (113/191) |
| Long passes |
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| 59% (29/49) | 44% (28/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (133/174) | 57% (52/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (11/33) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 35 |
| Clearances |
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| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 15 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.11 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽, Porra T. (A),
- 36', Briasco N. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 2, Briasco N. ⚽, Insua R. (A),
- 43', 1 - 2, Cobos F. ⚽, Lozano R. (A),
- 45', Candia J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 63', Candia J. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
- 63', Tapia I. ↓, Guaraz I. A. ↑,
- 69', Garnerone M. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 70', Rosane S. ↓, Gallardo F. ↑,
- 72', Cobos F. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
- 73', Briasco N. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
- 76', Martinez D. ↓, Barrios R. ↑,
- 82', Talpone N. ↓, Tevez M. ↑,
- 82', Lozano R. ↓, Abila R. ↑,
- 84', Cabrera A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
39.7% | Draw
34.6% | Barracas Central
25.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's performance.Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Río Cuarto that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barracas Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Barracas Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.87) |
2.73 ↑
(2.71) |
3.68 ↑
(2.72) |
5.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Barracas Central?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for E Río Cuarto: 53.9% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes de Río Cuarto will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 9).
- E Río Cuarto is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Barracas Central's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Barracas Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
- Including home match between the teams, E Río Cuarto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Río Cuarto won against Barracas Central?
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barracas Central won against Estudiantes de Río Cuarto?
Barracas Central has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Barracas Central were as follows:
Latest results of Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Latest results of Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 25 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:16 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 11:14 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Banfield | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
