Barracas Central vs Atlético Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.420.40
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
13
Passes
74% (255/346)82% (342/419)
Yellow cards
16
Red cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.420.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.680.24
Total shots
913
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
58
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
35
Shots outside the box
68
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
148
Passes
74% (255/346)82% (342/419)
Long passes
45% (37/82)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
50% (52/103)75% (108/144)
Crosses
17% (2/12)19% (5/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.43
Throw ins
1617
Fouls
814
Tackles
64% (7/11)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4340
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
0.240.68
Goals prevented
0.24-1.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Maroni G. , Tapia I. (A),
  • 18', Porra T. 🟨,
  • 37', Dominguez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Maroni G. , Martinez D. ,
  • 46', Vallejo L. , Galvan I. ,
  • 46', Dominguez J. , Godoy L. ,
  • 46', Morales G. , Bruera F. ,
  • 56', Compagnucci G. , Diaz L. ,
  • 56', Franco N. , Segovia A. ,
  • 63', Candia J. , Duarte M. ,
  • 63', Tapia I. , Gamba L. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Demartini N. (Own goal),
  • 71', 2 - 1, Gamba L. , Bruera F. (A),
  • 73', Ham E. , Ortiz K. ,
  • 73', Miloc D. , Guaraz I. A. ,
  • 83', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 89', Godoy L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ortiz K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ortiz K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barracas Central
33.3%
Draw
33.2%
Atlético Tucumán
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 29.9% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 30.9% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barracas Central's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.42)
    2.82
    (3.16)
    2.8
    (3.05)
    6.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 41%80.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Barracas Central (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Barracas Central has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Tucumán's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Atlético Tucumán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barracas Central has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Infante J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Barracas Central: Mino M. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
    29.07.2024 Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán 0:2
    11.02.2024 Barracas Central - Atlético Tucumán 2:0
    16.09.2023 Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central 1:0
    18.03.2023 Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central 1:1
    23.08.2022 Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central 4:0
    Latest results of Barracas Central
    Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1374215:9625
    2Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    3Lanus1364318:14422
    4Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    5Talleres Cordoba1363414:12221
    6Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    7Defensa y Justicia1347216:12419
    8Independiente1346319:16318
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba133376:16-1012
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Gimnasia L.P1352615:19-417
    11Sarmiento Junin1351711:14-316
    12Banfield1341814:17-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)