Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | K-Ball |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (313/396) | 87% (542/623) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (313/396) | 87% (542/623) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (12/53) | 54% (32/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (84/130) | 79% (158/199) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Hosoya M. ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 53', Mitsumaru H. 🟨,
- 66', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 66', Rafael Ratao ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 66', Tanaka S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 74', Nakama H. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
- 74', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 85', Shibayama M. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
- 86', Harada W. ↓, Katayama E. ↑,
- 90', Koizumi Y. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
- 90+7', Kagawa S. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka 33.3% | Draw 26.1% | Kashiwa Reysol 40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.82 ↑ (2.8) |
3.61 ↓ (3.7) |
2.34 ↓ (2.38) |
5.9% (4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Kashiwa (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 50%). Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
- Recent performances by Cerezo Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kashiwa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Cerezo Osaka has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Cerezo Osaka?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
26.02.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
28.09.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:0
03.04.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
12.08.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
23.04.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 2 | Verdy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Urawa Reds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Machida | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 2 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 9 | Mito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 10 | Chiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 2 |
| 6 | Kyoto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Okayama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)