Result
0:1 penalties
29/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (496/586) | 75% (257/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (496/586) | 75% (257/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/62) | 47% (27/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (116/155) | 67% (84/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mitsuta M. ↓, Goke Y. ↑,
- 49', Yokoyama Y. 🟨,
- 53', Uejo S. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 53', Osako R. ↓, Hatanaka S. ↑,
- 69', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
- 69', Nakamura T. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
- 70', Sasaki D. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 77', Ideguchi Y. 🟨,
- 83', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
- 83', Muto Y. ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
- 85', Kida H. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
- 90+4', Hidaka M. 🟨,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Kagawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Osako Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Tanaka S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Hidaka M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Cools D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Nagato K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Nakajima M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Jean Patric (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Vissel Kobe
60% | Draw
21.5% | Cerezo Osaka
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vissel Kobe's performance.Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.75) |
4.36 ↑
(3.82) |
5.1 ↑
(4.13) |
5.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 2.
- Vissel Kobe is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cerezo Osaka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vissel Kobe is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Ohata A.
(Yellow Cards)
Sakata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
Yengi K.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Cerezo Osaka?
Vissel Kobe has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Vissel Kobe?
Cerezo Osaka has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
22.03.2026
Cerezo Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
2:1
23.08.2025
Cerezo Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
1:1
06.05.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:3
13.09.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:1
11.05.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
1:4
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
