Sochi vs Lokomotiv Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Fisht Olympic Stadium (Sochi).

Premier League - Round 18
Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.92	3.41
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
4	10
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
85% (382/452)	85% (402/474)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92	3.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.20	3.69
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
4	10
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
5	14
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
12	33
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
12	13
Passes
85% (382/452)	85% (402/474)
Long passes
46% (18/39)	41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
83% (65/78)	67% (74/111)
Crosses
24% (4/17)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	1.71
Throw-ins
7	21
Fouls
13	12
Tackles
60% (9/15)	75% (9/12)
Duels won
48	35
Clearances
22	10
Interceptions
6	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	2
xGOT faced
3.69	2.20
Goals prevented
-0.31	0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Batrakov A. ⚽, Komlichenko N. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Kramaric M. ⚽, Saavedra I. (A),
29', 1 - 2, Rudenko A. ⚽,
31', Komlichenko N. 🟨,
34', 1 - 3, Rudenko A. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Komlichenko N. ↓, Vorobyev D. ↑,
46', Kramaric M. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
56', Vasiljev D. ↓, Osipov A. ↑,
57', Volkov S. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
62', Prutsev D. ↓, Bakaev Z. ↑,
68', 1 - 4, Vorobyev D. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Rudenko A. ↓, Pinyaev S. ↑,
72', Kovalenko A. ↓, Fedorov Z. ↑,
85', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Kamano F. ↑,
86', Barinov D. ↓, Timofeev A. ↑,
86', Montes C. ↓, Pogostnov E. ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Kamano F. ⚽,
90', Ignatov M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Sochi
17%

Draw
23.6%

Lokomotiv Moscow
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.5%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (4.4)	4.03 ↑ (3.65)	1.6 ↓ (1.74)	5.1% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Lokomotiv (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Moscow will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.
Sochi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Lokomotiv has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Lokomotiv is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P. (Knee Injury) Rudakov M. (Inactive)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Lokomotiv Moscow?

Sochi has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Sochi?

Lokomotiv Moscow has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:

19.07.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi 3:0

10.03.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi 2:2

27.08.2023 Sochi - Lokomotiv Moscow 0:1

08.05.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi 3:0

29.01.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow - Sochi 2:0

Latest results of Sochi

01.12.2025 Sochi - Dynamo Makhachkala 0:0 ✺

21.11.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Sochi 3:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Sochi - Rostov 0:1 ✺

02.11.2025 Orenburg - Sochi 3:1 ✺

27.10.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Sochi 2:4 ✺

Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow

30.11.2025 Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:3 ✺

26.11.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Moscow 2:3 ✺

23.11.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Krasnodar 1:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg 1:0 ✺

06.11.2025 Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:1 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	19	13	4	2	39:13	26	43
2	Zenit	19	12	6	1	35:12	23	42
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	19	11	7	1	41:24	17	40
4	CSKA Moscow	19	11	3	5	30:18	12	36
5	Baltika	19	9	8	2	24:8	16	35
6	Spartak Moscow	19	9	5	5	29:25	4	32
7	Akhmat Grozny	19	7	4	8	23:25	-2	25
8	Dynamo Moscow	19	6	6	7	31:26	5	24
9	Rubin Kazan	19	6	5	8	17:24	-7	23
10	Akron Togliatti	19	5	6	8	22:28	-6	21
11	FK Rostov	19	5	6	8	16:22	-6	21
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	19	4	6	9	10:22	-12	18
13	Krylya Sovetov	19	4	5	10	20:37	-17	17
14	Orenburg	19	3	6	10	19:29	-10	15
15	Pari NN	19	4	2	13	13:30	-17	14
16	Sochi	19	2	3	14	18:44	-26	9

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL