Spartak Moscow vs Lokomotiv Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lukoil Arena (Moscow).

Premier League - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.29	0.76
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
3	3
Passes
82% (435/530)	69% (224/327)
Yellow cards
1	5
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.29	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.35	0.63
Total shots
16	10
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
13	8
Shots outside the box
3	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
5	1
Corner kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
32	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
14	15
Passes
82% (435/530)	69% (224/327)
Long passes
45% (18/40)	27% (15/55)
Passes in final third
74% (112/152)	60% (58/96)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.52	0.58
Throw ins
20	23
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
79% (11/14)	84% (16/19)
Duels won
58	53
Clearances
28	31
Interceptions
6	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.63	2.35
Goals prevented
-0.37	0.35

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Batrakov A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garcia L. ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
49', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
58', Morozov E. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Barco E. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Bakaev Z. ↓, Komlichenko N. ↑,
72', Morozov E. 🟨,
76', Vorobyev D. ↓, Nyamsi G. ↑,
78', Lucas Fasson 🟨,
79', Fernandes G. ↓, Polekh P. ↑,
82', Komlichenko N. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Solari P. ⚽, Zobnin R. (A),
90+5', Ugalde M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Spartak Moscow
46.9%

Draw
26%

Lokomotiv Moscow
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spartak Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.87)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	3.58 ↓ (4.04)	3.1% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Spartak M is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Spartak M: Marquinhos (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Lokomotiv: Pinyaev S. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Spartak M: Babic S. (Knee Injury) Samoshnikov I. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:27. (average 2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:13. (average 2.5:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Moscow won against Lokomotiv Moscow?

Spartak Moscow has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Spartak Moscow?

Lokomotiv Moscow has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:

26.11.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Moscow 2:3

06.11.2025 Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:1

09.08.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Moscow 4:2

23.11.2024 Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow 5:2

28.09.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Spartak Moscow 3:1

Latest results of Spartak Moscow

22.03.2026 Orenburg - Spartak Moscow 0:2 ✺

18.03.2026 Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Zenit - Spartak Moscow 2:0 ✺

09.03.2026 Spartak Moscow - Akron Tolyatti 4:3 ✺

05.03.2026 Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow 5:2 ✺

Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow

22.03.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti 5:1 ✺

19.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:2 ✺

15.03.2026 Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow 3:0 ✺

09.03.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 2:2 ✺

05.03.2026 Arsenal Tula - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:2 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	24	16	5	3	49:17	32	53
2	Zenit	24	15	7	2	44:17	27	52
3	Lokomotiv Moscow	24	12	9	3	50:33	17	45
4	Baltika	24	11	11	2	34:13	21	44
5	CSKA Moscow	24	13	3	8	36:26	10	42
6	Spartak Moscow	24	12	6	6	38:32	6	42
7	Dynamo Moscow	24	9	7	8	43:35	8	34
8	Rubin Kazan	24	9	7	8	23:25	-2	34
9	Akhmat Grozny	24	8	7	9	29:31	-2	31
10	FK Rostov	24	6	8	10	19:26	-7	26
11	Dynamo Makhachkala	24	5	8	11	15:30	-15	23
12	Akron Togliatti	24	5	7	12	30:43	-13	22
13	Krylya Sovetov	24	5	7	12	25:44	-19	22
14	Pari NN	24	6	3	15	20:39	-19	21
15	Orenburg	24	4	8	12	24:36	-12	20
16	Sochi	24	3	3	18	21:53	-32	12

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL