Elmer Moller vs Nicolas Jarry – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
90
1st serve percentage
53%80%
1st serve points won
63% (31/49)69% (38/55)
2nd serve points won
41% (18/44)57% (8/14)
Break Points Saved
8/135/6
1st return points won
31% (17/55)41% (20/49)
2nd return points won
43% (6/14)59% (26/44)
Break Points Converted
1/65/13
Winners
1922
Unforced errors
4031
Net points won
60% (6/10)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
53% (49/93)66% (45/68)
Return Points Won
34% (23/68)47% (44/93)
Total Points Won
45% (72/161)55% (89/161)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
10
Service games won
58% (7/12)91% (10/11)
Return games won
9% (1/11)42% (5/12)
Total games won
35% (8/23)65% (15/23)

Chances of winning


Elmer Moller
39.9%
Nicolas Jarry
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 64.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moller's performance.
  • Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Jarry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Elmer Moller - Nicolas Jarry Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.94)

    1.56
    (1.36)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Elmer Moller - Nicolas Jarry?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Jarry will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 76.1%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Jarry will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moller is ranked ATP: 131. Jarry is ranked ATP: 156.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Jarry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Jarry might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Elmer Moller
    Latest results of Nicolas Jarry