Houston Dynamo vs El Paso Locomotive – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
15/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.120.40
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
71
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
61
Passes
90% (567/629)86% (453/525)
Yellow cards
20
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.120.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.390.21
Total shots
177
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
71
Shots inside the box
134
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
265
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free kicks
610
Passes
90% (567/629)86% (453/525)
Long passes
47% (15/32)55% (36/65)
Passes in final third
82% (124/151)63% (32/51)
Crosses
44% (7/16)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.21
Throw ins
914
Fouls
106
Tackles
69% (9/13)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3227
Clearances
314
Interceptions
1415
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.212.39
Goals prevented
-0.79-1.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Lingr O. , Markanich N. (A),
  • 25', Twumasi K. 🟥,
  • 30', Resch A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Negri F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Guilherme , Bogusz M. ,
  • 46', 2 - 0, Bogusz M. , Lingr O. (A),
  • 58', 3 - 0, Markanich N. , Herrera H. (A),
  • 59', Felipe Andrade , Antonio Carlos ,
  • 59', Negri F. , Ponce E. ,
  • 68', Mendez A. , Gomez D. ,
  • 68', Rubin R. , Abitia D. ,
  • 68', Gabriel Torres , Avila R. ,
  • 70', Herrera H. , Samassekou D. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Avila R. , Ruiz R. (A),
  • 79', Calvillo E. , Farkarlun B. ,
  • 79', Quezada A. , Hoban K. ,
  • 79', Aliyu I. , Ennali L. ,
  • 80', 4 - 1, Ponce E. , Bogusz M. (A),

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
69.7%
Draw
17.9%
El Paso Locomotive
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 21.9% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 20.2% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Dynamo's performance.
  • El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Dynamo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Paso Locomotive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Houston Dynamo - El Paso Locomotive Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.51)
    5.17
    (4.17)
    7.63
    (5.16)
    7.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - El Paso Locomotive?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Houston has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • El Paso is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • El Paso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd1 : 3
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.6 : 0
    3Westchester SCNew York City2 : 5
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh3 : 1
    5DetroitChicago Fire1 : 2
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa4 : 0
    7Louisville CityAustin FC2 : 1
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso4 : 1
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City3 : 0
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha1 : 0
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United0 : 1
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising2 : 0
    13FC NaplesOrlando City0 : 1
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island2 : 1
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew0 : 3
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville3 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1Atlanta UtdCharlotte
    2New York CityNew York Red Bulls
    3Chicago FireSt. Louis City
    4Louisville CityHouston Dynamo
    5Colorado SpringsColorado Rapids
    6Minnesota UnitedSan Jose Earthquakes
    7Orlando CityNew England Revolution
    8Columbus CrewOne Knoxville