Result
0:4
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Radosav C. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (291/357) | 84% (412/491) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (291/357) | 84% (412/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (23/50) | 52% (37/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (40/76) | 73% (58/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.06 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 12', 0 - 1, Calvillo E. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, Tony Alfaro (Penalty Awarded),
- 32', 0 - 3, Abitia D. ⚽, Twumasi K. (A),
- 36', Abitia D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Obalola A. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 54', Gabriel Torres 🟨,
- 56', Diz A. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 4, Gabriel Torres ⚽,
- 66', Calvillo E. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
- 66', Gabriel Torres ↓, Farkarlun B. ↑,
- 66', Abitia D. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
- 66', Moreno A. ↓, Mora O. ↑,
- 68', Moreira J. ↓, Taofeek A. ↑,
- 74', Ortiz A. 🟨,
- 79', Makangila B. ↓, Hadjipaschalis C. ↑,
- 81', Gomez D. ↓, Coronado R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hartford Athletic 47.4% | Draw 26.5% | El Paso Locomotive 26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↓ (2.18) |
3.49 ↑ (3.18) |
3.55 ↑ (3.17) |
8.1% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. El Paso will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Hartford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- El Paso is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Hartford is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against El Paso Locomotive?
Hartford Athletic has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Hartford Athletic?
El Paso Locomotive has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
29.03.2025
Hartford Athletic
-
El Paso Locomotive
1:2
09.03.2024
El Paso Locomotive
-
Hartford Athletic
0:1
26.08.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
El Paso Locomotive
0:2
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Charleston | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Brooklyn | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Orange County SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | El Paso | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | San Antonio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Phoenix Rising | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Lexington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Tulsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)