Rei Sakamoto vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Chances of winning


Rei Sakamoto
51.1%
Vilius Gaubas
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Rei Sakamoto - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.96)

    1.93
    (1.82)
    6.1%
    (6.1%)
    What is the prediction for Rei Sakamoto - Vilius Gaubas?
  • Users Predictions: Rei Sakamoto will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 159. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 124.
    • Recent performances by Sakamoto have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gaubas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gaubas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Gojo B.2 : 0
    2Harris B.Merida Aguilar D. (13)0 : 2
    3Garin C. (2)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A.Damm M. (24)0 : 2
    5Svajda Z. (3)Sakamoto R. (WC)0 : 2
    6Gea A.Gaubas V. (22)0 : 2
    7Prizmic D. (4)O'Connell C.2 : 1
    8Piros Z.Barrios Vera T. (21)2 : 0
    9Vukic A. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    10Moller E.Gaston H. (18)2 : 0
    11Halys Q. (6)Faria J.1 : 2
    12Harris L.McDonald M. (23)2 : 0
    13Kypson P. (7)Kouame M. (WC)2 : 0
    14Travaglia S.Basilashvili N. (20)0 : 2
    15Vallejo D. (8)Martinez P.2 : 0
    16Rocha H.Choinski J. (19)2 : 1
    17Kovacevic A. (9)Echargui M.1 : 2
    18Budkov Kjaer N.Maestrelli F. (16)2 : 0
    19van Assche L. (10)Dedura D. (WC)0 : 2
    20Blanch Dar. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2
    21Wu Y. (11)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    22Virtanen O.Droguet T. (17)1 : 2
    23Hijikata R. (12)Rodesch C.0 : 2
    24Lajovic D.Arnaldi M. (14)2 : 1

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (13)
    2Garin C. (2)Damm M. (24)1 : 2
    3Sakamoto R.Gaubas V. (22)
    4Prizmic D. (4)Piros Z.
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Moller E.0 : 2
    6Faria J.Harris L.
    7Kypson P. (7)Basilashvili N. (20)
    8Vallejo D. (8)Rocha H.
    9Echargui M.Budkov Kjaer N.
    10Dedura D.Bonzi B. (15)
    11Wu Y. (11)Droguet T. (17)
    12Rodesch C.Lajovic D.