Result
2:1
03/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Niang M. ⚽, Iheanacho S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, Teixeira G. ⚽, Joao Ricardo (A),
- 56', Precatado J. ↓, Raposo C. ↑,
- 63', Simoes J. ↓, Bura ↑,
- 63', Teixeira G. ↓, Ayiah E. ↑,
- 67', Matos R. ↓, Neves L. ↑,
- 69', Medalli N. ↓, Koume S. ↑,
- 78', Andrey ↓, Pinto R. ↑,
- 78', Niang M. ↓, So S. ↑,
- 84', Neves L. 🟨,
- 85', Monteiro D. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
- 85', Rodeia M. ↓, Madeira T. ↑,
- 90+3', Koume S. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Iheanacho S. ⚽,
- 90+5', Iheanacho S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mafra
48.2% | Draw
27.6% | União de Santarém
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Mafra - União de Santarém Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.95) |
3.32 ↑
(3.13) |
3.79 ↓
(3.87) |
9.1%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mafra - União de Santarém?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Santarém will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)
- Mafra is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Santarém has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Mafra is considered a favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Mafra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against União de Santarém?
Mafra has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has União de Santarém won against Mafra?
União de Santarém has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - União de Santarém were as follows:
04.03.2026
União de Santarém
-
Mafra
3:1
16.01.2026
Mafra
-
União de Santarém
0:0
26.10.2025
União de Santarém
-
Mafra
1:2
02.10.2022
União de Santarém
-
Mafra
0:1
Latest results of União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Academica | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Varzim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:10 | -3 | 9 |
| 6 | Mafra | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 7 |
| 7 | Santarem | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Trofense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
