Result
28/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | DSports 310 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | DSports 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Chances of winning
San Lorenzo
33.7% | Draw
33.5% | Santos
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Lorenzo - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.3) |
2.8 ↓
(2.99) |
2.87 ↓
(3.3) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Santos?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - San Lorenzo (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- San Lorenzo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Santos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Santos has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has San Lorenzo won against Santos?
San Lorenzo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against San Lorenzo?
Santos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Santos were as follows:
Latest results of San Lorenzo
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Tigre | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cienciano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Puerto Cabello | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Atletico-MG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Juventud | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Boston River | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Dep. Cuenca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Santos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo RJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Caracas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Independiente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Gremio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Palestino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Vasco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
