Independiente Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 3
  • Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter

Chances of winning


Independiente Rivadavia
68.2%
Draw
20.5%
Deportivo La Guaira
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65% 21.9% 13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4% 20.8% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo La Guaira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.44)
    4.59
    (4.29)
    8.52
    (7.11)
    5.9%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Deportivo La Guaira?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Independiente R has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Deportivo La Guaira is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Independiente R is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Deportivo La Guaira: Arace R. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Deportivo La Guaira: Londono F. (Injury)
    • We predict that Independiente R will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense32014:406
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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