Result
1:0
07/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2, ESPN 5 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2, ESPN 5 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 5, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (202/261) | 86% (405/472) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (202/261) | 86% (405/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 55% (18/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (59/94) | 65% (41/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 80% (4/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 23 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Lampe C. (Own goal),
- 22', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Oyola B. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
- 62', Aleman C. ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
- 67', Costa L. ↓, Bottari T. ↑,
- 72', Echeverria S. 🟥,
- 74', Fernandez M. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
- 74', Arce A. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 74', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
- 85', Robson Matheus ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
- 90', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
- 90', Sartori F. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
66.9% | Draw
21.1% | Bolívar
12% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Independiente Rivadavia - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.58) |
4.6 ↑
(3.85) |
8.3 ↑
(5.8) |
3.9%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Bolívar?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Bolívar (6.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente Rivadavia will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Independiente R is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Bolívar?
Independiente Rivadavia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Bolívar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Bolívar were as follows:
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Bolívar
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Coquimbo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Platense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Penarol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Mirassol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
