Result
5:1
26/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (198/255) | 71% (127/180) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.98 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (198/255) | 71% (127/180) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 58% (28/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (60/93) | 71% (34/48) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 3.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Armoa B. ⚽, Sabatini I. (A),
- 11', Modica A. 🟨,
- 11', Studer S. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 1, Studer S. ⚽, Costa L. (A),
- 24', Antonini F. 🟨,
- 26', Fernandez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 1, Sartori F. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
- 55', Fernandez E. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
- 55', Antonini F. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
- 58', Armoa B. 🟨,
- 61', Saavedra F. 🟥,
- 61', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 64', Cortez I. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
- 64', Armoa B. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Arce A. ⚽,
- 72', Bonifacio E. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
- 72', Fernandez M. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 77', Arce A. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
- 79', 4 - 1, Costa L. ⚽, Atencio R. (A),
- 82', Bottari T. ↓, Bucca L. ↑,
- 82', Sartori F. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,
- 83', 5 - 1, Bucca L. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
- 84', Modica A. ↓, Sanchez U. ↑,
- 87', Barboza N. 🟨,
- 89', Sanchez U. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
50.6% | Draw
30.4% | Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
18.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Rivadavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.72) |
3.1 ↓
(3.38) |
4.98 ↓
(5.56) |
5.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Independiente Rivadavia will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- Independiente R is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2.
- Independiente R is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gimnasia Mendoza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gimnasia Mendoza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Independiente R is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Gonzales
(Injury)
Linares N.
(Muscle Injury)
Paredes L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B.
(Injury)
Antonini F.
(Injury)
- We predict that Independiente R will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza were as follows:
22.10.2022
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
-
Independiente Rivadavia
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. ✔ | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors ✔ | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba ✔ | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lanus ✔ | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 23 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 7 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Defensa y Justicia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Instituto | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28:14 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | River Plate ✔ | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22:11 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Rosario Central ✔ | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 27 |
| 4 | Argentinos Jrs ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 23 |
| 7 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 21 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Tigre | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:18 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 7 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5:22 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
