Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Villa Park (Birmingham).

Premier League - Round 20
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Amazon Prime Video, TV3 MAX
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport Premier League
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Moji, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Amazon Prime Video, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	0.89
Ball Possession
73%	27%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
90% (574/639)	72% (168/233)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.45	1.60
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
45	11
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
20	10
Passes
90% (574/639)	72% (168/233)
Long passes
55% (17/31)	43% (21/49)
Passes in final third
80% (190/237)	55% (22/40)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.04	0.79
Throw-ins
17	8
Fouls
10	20
Tackles
50% (9/18)	47% (9/19)
Duels won
50	40
Clearances
12	28
Interceptions
11	14
Errors leading to shot
2	2
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
1.60	1.45
Goals prevented
0.60	-1.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Watkins O. ⚽, Rogers M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, McGinn J. ⚽, Cash M. (A),
61', 2 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Bakwa D. (A),
65', Bakwa D. 🟨,
69', Maatsen I. ↓, Digne L. ↑,
69', Buendia E. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
69', Aina O. ↓, Savona N. ↑,
69', Bakwa D. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, McGinn J. ⚽, Tielemans Y. (A),
78', John Victor ↓, Sels M. ↑,
83', McGinn J. ↓, Bogarde L. ↑,
83', Watkins O. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
84', Dominguez N. ↓, Douglas Luiz ↑,
84', Igor Jesus ↓, Kalimuendo A. ↑,
89', McAtee J. 🟨,
90', Cash M. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
90+4', Bogarde L. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4w4yh67x

Chances of winning

Aston Villa
50.1%

Draw
26.8%

Nottingham Forest
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

25.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

25%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.76)	3.58 ↓ (3.68)	4.16 ↓ (4.76)	4.4% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Aston Villa (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Aston Villa (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (92 of 104 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.32% – 94.6%. The data is statistically significant.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 40 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 36 - 90%). Tie (votes: 4 - 10%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3.
Aston Villa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Nottingham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.
In this match, Aston Villa is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Guessand E. (International duty) Mings T. (Hamstring Injury) Torres P. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (International duty) Sangare I. (International duty) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury) Yates R. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Aston Villa: Onana A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Nottingham: Ndoye D. (Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 2.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Nottingham Forest?

Aston Villa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nottingham Forest won against Aston Villa?

Nottingham Forest has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest were as follows:

05.04.2025 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:1

14.12.2024 Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa 2:1

24.02.2024 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 4:2

05.11.2023 Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa 2:0

08.04.2023 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 2:0

Latest results of Aston Villa

30.12.2025 Arsenal - Aston Villa 4:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Chelsea - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Aston Villa - Manchester United 2:1 ✺

14.12.2025 West Ham United - Aston Villa 2:3 ✺

11.12.2025 Basel - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Nottingham Forest

30.12.2025 Nottingham Forest - Everton 0:2 ✺

27.12.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 1:2 ✺

22.12.2025 Fulham - Nottingham Forest 1:0 ✺

14.12.2025 Nottingham Forest - Tottenham Hotspur 3:0 ✺

11.12.2025 Utrecht - Nottingham Forest 1:2 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	29	19	7	3	58:22	36	64
2	Manchester City	28	18	5	5	57:25	32	59
3	Manchester Utd	28	14	9	5	50:38	12	51
4	Aston Villa	28	15	6	7	38:30	8	51
5	Liverpool	29	14	6	9	48:39	9	48
6	Chelsea	28	12	9	7	49:33	16	45
7	Brentford	29	13	5	11	44:40	4	44
8	Everton	29	12	7	10	34:33	1	43
9	Bournemouth	29	9	13	7	44:46	-2	40
10	Fulham	28	12	4	12	40:42	-2	40
11	Sunderland	29	10	10	9	30:34	-4	40
12	Brighton	28	9	10	9	38:35	3	37
13	Newcastle	28	10	6	12	40:42	-2	36
14	Crystal Palace	28	9	8	11	30:34	-4	35
15	Leeds	29	7	10	12	37:48	-11	31
16	Tottenham	28	7	8	13	38:43	-5	29
17	Nottingham	28	7	6	15	26:41	-15	27
18	West Ham	28	6	7	15	34:54	-20	25
19	Burnley	29	4	7	18	32:58	-26	19
20	Wolves	30	3	7	20	22:52	-30	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship