New York City vs Atlanta United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
12/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.710.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.890.57
Total shots
118
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
68
Passes
86% (513/600)83% (389/467)
Long passes
50% (27/54)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
70% (90/128)65% (82/126)
Crosses
30% (3/10)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.61
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
86
Tackles
80% (12/15)33% (3/9)
Duels won
3129
Clearances
2027
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.571.89
Goals prevented
0.57-2.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Moralez M. , Wolf H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Bakrar M. , Perea A. (A),
  • 57', 3 - 0, Wolf H. , Moralez M. (A),
  • 59', 4 - 0, Wolf H. , Haak J. (A),
  • 62', Hernandez R. , Abram L. ,
  • 62', Lobjanidze S. , Latte Lath E. ,
  • 62', Williams D. , Cobb N. ,
  • 73', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 73', Tanasijevic S. , Gray T. ,
  • 73', Ojeda A. , Cavallo N. ,
  • 78', Bakrar M. , Garfield Reid S. ,
  • 78', Thiare J. , Brennan L. ,
  • 83', Fernandez J. , Shore J. ,
  • 88', Amador P. , Sessock N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
48.2%
Draw
25.8%
Atlanta United
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 25.6% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 26.1% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • New York City - Atlanta United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.94)
    3.65
    (3.71)
    3.64
    (3.75)
    5.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for New York City - Atlanta United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - NY City (1.90) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Atlanta (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Atlanta (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Atlanta (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: New York City will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlanta (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Martinez A. (International duty) Parks K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Cohen J. (Groin Injury) Fortune A. (International duty) Mosquera E. (Thigh Injury) Muyumba T. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury) O'Toole K. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlanta: Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Atlanta United were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York City 4:3
    17.07.2024 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    06.04.2024 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    21.06.2023 Atlanta United - New York City 2:2
    08.04.2023 New York City - Atlanta United 1:1
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    MLS Table
    Main

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    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
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    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

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