Cincinnati vs DC United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.90
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (459/570)74% (274/368)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.540.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.501.53
Total shots
811
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
259
Passes
81% (459/570)74% (274/368)
Long passes
52% (37/71)35% (24/69)
Passes in final third
56% (58/104)61% (86/140)
Crosses
18% (3/17)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.76
Throw-ins
2313
Fouls
925
Tackles
47% (7/15)56% (9/16)
Duels won
6654
Clearances
2138
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.530.50
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Gabriel Pirani , Schnegg D. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Denkey K. , Evander (A),
  • 19', 1 - 2, Antley C. , Gabriel Pirani (A), Herrera A. (A2)
  • 44', Peltola M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Miazga M. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Murrell J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Peglow , Kijima H. ,
  • 46', Hadebe T. , Orellano L. ,
  • 46', Anunga T. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 46', Valenzuela G. , Kamara K. ,
  • 60', Gabriel Pirani , Stroud J. ,
  • 60', Murrell J. , Badji D. ,
  • 60', Peltola M. , Servania B. ,
  • 68', Miazga M. , Smith B. ,
  • 69', Servania B. 🟨,
  • 83', Denkey K. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 84', Boris Enow , Zouhir R. ,
  • 90+4', Badji D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Zouhir R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
65.4%
Draw
20.5%
DC United
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 24.3% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 23.1% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cincinnati's performance.
  • DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Cincinnati - DC United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.53)
    4.64
    (3.7)
    6.74
    (5.25)
    5.3%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati - DC United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Cincinnati (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cincinnati will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • DC United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, DC United has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Cincinnati is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Hagglund N. (Ribs Injury)
    • There will not play in DC United: Benteke C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in DC United: Badji D. (Thigh Injury) Hopkins J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - DC United were as follows:
    12.04.2025 DC United - Cincinnati 0:1
    03.07.2024 DC United - Cincinnati 2:3
    10.03.2024 Cincinnati - DC United 0:0
    24.06.2023 DC United - Cincinnati 3:0
    06.05.2023 Cincinnati - DC United 2:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    28.05.2025 Cincinnati - FC Dallas 3:3
    17.05.2025 Columbus Crew - Cincinnati 1:1
    14.05.2025 Toronto FC - Cincinnati 0:1
    10.05.2025 Cincinnati - Austin FC 2:1
    Latest results of DC United
    MLS Table
    Main

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    PlWDLDiffPts
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    2Vancouver Whitecaps1081126:62025
    3Los Angeles FC1163219:81121
    4Seattle Sounders962113:5820
    5Minnesota United1162314:16-220
    6Real Salt Lake1061319:14519
    7FC Dallas1144320:15516
    8Houston Dynamo1050513:18-515
    9Colorado Rapids1141622:19313
    10Los Angeles Galaxy1134416:17-113
    11Austin FC1134416:19-313
    12San Diego FC1133519:19012
    13Portland Timbers1031613:21-810
    14St. Louis City101369:18-96
    15Sporting Kansas City101278:26-185


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC1072121:61523
    2New England Revolution1061318:12619
    3Inter Miami1154222:19319
    4Chicago Fire1052319:11817
    5DC United1143413:15-215
    6FC Cincinnati1143422:25-315
    7Charlotte1142518:19-114
    8Toronto FC1135318:20-214
    9New York City1133519:18112
    10Columbus Crew1133516:16012
    11New York Red Bulls1133516:27-1112
    12Atlanta Utd1131712:18-610
    13Orlando City1131716:32-1610
    14CF Montreal1030714:23-99
    15Philadelphia Union111379:17-86

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