Result
05/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Chances of winning
Cruzeiro
64.4% | Draw
22.5% | Sport Recife
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Cruzeiro - Sport Recife Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.33) |
4.32 ↓
(4.94) |
7.2 ↓
(10.03) |
5.2%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro - Sport Recife?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cruzeiro will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 3.
- Cruzeiro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Recife has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cruzeiro is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Cruzeiro: Fabricio Bruno
(Yellow Cards)
Fagner
(Broken Leg)
Janderson
(Knee Injury)
Jonathan Jesus
(Inactive)
Kaio Jorge
(Yellow Cards)
Romero L.
(Yellow Cards)
Wanderson
(Inactive)
William Furtado
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Recife: Denis
(Knee Injury)
Hereda
(Health problems)
Oliveira S.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Recife: Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruzeiro won against Sport Recife?
Cruzeiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Recife won against Cruzeiro?
Sport Recife has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro - Sport Recife were as follows:
11.05.2025
Sport Recife
-
Cruzeiro
0:4
09.10.2022
Sport Recife
-
Cruzeiro
3:1
Latest results of Cruzeiro
Latest results of Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 14 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
