Deportivo Municipal vs Alianza Lima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Lima
Result
0:1
01/07/2023 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Municipal
10.9%
Draw
17.9%
Alianza Lima
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.1% 24.1% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 24.1% 58.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Municipal's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Lima's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Municipal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Lima, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Lima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.41
    (5.42)
    5.21
    (3.85)
    1.31
    (1.58)
    7.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Lima?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Municipal: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Municipal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Alianza Lima is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Municipal won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-30.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Lima were as follows:
    15.05.2023 Alianza Lima - Deportivo Municipal 2:1
    10.10.2022 Alianza Lima - Deportivo Municipal 4:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Municipal
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal330010:0109
    2Cusco33006:069
    3U. de Deportes32107:347
    4Deportivo Garcilaso32105:147
    5Sport Huancayo42118:717
    6Alianza Lima31113:4-14
    7FBC Melgar31112:3-14
    8Ayacucho41124:6-24
    9Alianza Atl30301:103
    10Alianza Huanuco31024:5-13
    11Grau21013:4-13
    12Juan Pablo II31025:7-23
    13Los Chankas21013:5-23
    14AD Tarma21011:3-23
    15Cajamarca20111:2-11
    16Cienciano30122:4-21
    17Binacional20110:2-21
    18Comerciantes Unidos30123:6-31
    19Sport Boys30120:5-51

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