Result
1:1
02/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (404/499) | 60% (130/217) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (404/499) | 60% (130/217) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (35/79) | 56% (35/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽, Vilca R. (A),
- 18', Franco D. 🟨,
- 20', Olmedo L. (Pen),
- 20', 1 - 1, Olmedo L. ⚽,
- 42', Guarderas R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Franco D. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
- 57', Ysique F. 🟨,
- 63', Fernandez S. 🟨,
- 68', Bolivar J. 🟨,
- 69', Vilca R. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
- 70', Olmedo L. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 70', Lupu H. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
- 76', Fernandez S. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
- 76', Graneros A. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 86', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 89', Bandiera N. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 90', Ysique F. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 90+2', Rostaing J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Perleche E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
35.5% | Draw
30.7% | Alianza Atlético
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Atlético's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(1.96) |
3.11 ↓
(3.55) |
2.87 ↓
(3.41) |
6.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0.
- Recent form of Grau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Atlético's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Larios Saavedra G. A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Grau: Bolivar J.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Alianza Atlético?
Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Atlético Grau?
Alianza Atlético has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
29.06.2025
Alianza Atlético
-
Atlético Grau
2:1
14.07.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
28.01.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Alianza Atlético
1:1
08.10.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Alianza Atlético
1:1
27.05.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Atlético Grau
3:2
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
