Result
2:1
29/06/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (163/232) | 71% (165/231) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (163/232) | 71% (165/231) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 42% (25/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (35/68) | 56% (45/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Guarderas R. 🟨,
- 37', Solis A. 🟨,
- 39', Perleche E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Solis A. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 53', Sandoval T. 🟨,
- 55', Bolivar J. 🟨,
- 60', Rostaing J. 🟥,
- 63', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
- 68', Perez M. 🟨,
- 69', Perleche E. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 69', Lupu H. ↓, Vasquez C. ↑,
- 69', Castro R. ↓, Espinosa R. ↑,
- 75', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
- 78', 0 - 1, Bolivar J. ⚽, Sandoval T. (A),
- 81', Vilca R. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Benincasa H. ⚽, Vasquez C. (A),
- 86', Bandiera N. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
- 86', Ysique F. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
- 86', Fernandez S. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Diaz R. ⚽, Vasquez C. (A),
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético
41.7% | Draw
31.8% | Atlético Grau
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.23) |
2.91 ↓
(3.34) |
3.41 ↑
(3.29) |
8.8%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alianza Atlético will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.
- Alianza Atlético is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Grau has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alianza Atlético will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Grau: Soto D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Atlético Grau?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Alianza Atlético?
Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau were as follows:
14.07.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
28.01.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Alianza Atlético
1:1
08.10.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Alianza Atlético
1:1
27.05.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
Atlético Grau
3:2
09.10.2022
Alianza Atlético
-
Atlético Grau
4:1
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | AD Tarma | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Grau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
